Russia’s victory will create three major problems in the world
9 October 2024 09:17
ДУМКА
Andriy Mahera, former deputy head of the Central Election Commission
Those who have the opportunity to regularly communicate with foreigners in the public sphere, please inform them that during the Russian-Ukrainian war, the issue is not even in Ukraine. It is much more global.
Because Russia’s hypothetical victory will inevitably create three big problems in the world.
- It opens a Pandora’s box for states in relation to their neighbours. They will realise that Russian aggression is unpunished and that in the 21st century it is possible to occupy and annex other people’s territories.
- The world’s states will realise that international treaties do not guarantee their security unless they have nuclear weapons. This will lead to a sharp increase in nuclear research and a significantly higher number of nuclear states in the world. That is, not 8, as it is now, but conditionally up to 18 or even 28.
- The seizure of Ukraine is not only a seizure of natural and material resources, but also a seizure of enormous human potential. They will utilise Ukrainian men because they will never trust them. The best way to dispose of them is to mobilise them into the ranks of the Russian armed forces and send them to fight in a war against Poland, Romania or Lithuania. They will find a reason.
Will you say that Ukrainian men will not go because they do not want to? But you shouldn’t assume that Moscow lives by the values of the twenty-first century; they will use the methods of the sixteenth century: they will treat part of the population with propaganda (“The West deceived you and betrayed you…” and so on), and blackmail some with families who will be taken hostage at the state level. And the small part of Ukrainian men who will not join the Russian army under any circumstances will be physically destroyed.
The Kremlin needs the return of the empire. Without uprisings and guerrilla warfare in the occupied territories.
Therefore, the West should already understand that helping Ukraine with money, weapons, and even operating its own aviation and air defence systems on the territory of Ukraine is much cheaper and more promising for them than sending hundreds of thousands of US, British, French or German soldiers to war in Poland, Romania, Lithuania.
Especially in a situation where things can go too far and nothing can be brought back. No amount of money can buy time.
I emphasise this once again. We need to talk to foreigners not only about Ukraine, but first and foremost about them. They understand this much better.
