Usyk – Dubois: bookmakers’ predictions for the championship fight
17 July 2025 22:35
On Saturday, July 19, 2025, the legendary Wembley Stadium in London will host a rematch between Ukrainian boxer Oleksandr Usyk (23-0, 14 KOs) and British boxer Daniel Dubois (22-2, 21 KOs). The fight will take place as part of the fight for the title of absolute heavyweight champion of the world, "Komersant Ukrainian" reports
At stake is the unification of all the most prestigious heavyweight titles: WBA, WBC, WBO, IBO, The Ring, which Usyk holds, as well as the IBF belt, which currently belongs to Dubois.
The first fight is Usyk’s
The first fight between these rivals took place on August 23, 2023. Back then, Usyk won by technical knockout in the ninth round.
The fight was accompanied by controversy over a controversial moment with a punch below the belt, which sparked discussion among fans and experts. Nevertheless, the Ukrainian managed to return to the fight and convincingly finish it in his favor.
Expectations for the rematch
The second fight between Usyk and Du Bois promises to be one of the most high-profile boxing matches of 2025. Analysts and experts favor the Ukrainian champion.
According to GGBet, the odds of Usyk’s victory are estimated at 1.32 (71% probability), while Dubois’ victory is 3.66 (24%).
A draw is considered unlikely (odds of 20.0).
It is also predicted that the fight will not last all 12 rounds: the chances of an early end are estimated at 59% (odds 1.61), while the full distance – 2.32.
At Favbet, the quotes for this fight are as follows: Usyk’s victory is estimated at 1.32, while the odds on Dubois’ triumph have settled at 3.55. The global outcome of the fight is 17.0.
As for the number of rounds, bookmakers are more inclined to the early end of the fight, where you can bet on the proposed option for 1.58, and in case of full completion of the entire distance of the fight, the odds will be 2.30.
We also pay attention to the following markets:
- Usyk to win on points – 2.85
- Usyk to win early – 2.10
- Dubois to win by points – 13.00
- Dubois to win early – 5.00
When will the decisive moment take place?
Experts believe that the most likely period for the end of the fight is 7-9 rounds.
The probability that Usyk will win in this period of time is estimated at 5.5. For Dubois, this scenario is less likely – 12.0.
Predictions for knockouts
- Usyk’s victory by knockout, technical knockout or disqualification is estimated at 2.11 (45%).
- Dubois’ victory in the same way is 4.72 (20%).
It is also considered unlikely that Usyk will be knocked down at least once (28%, odds 3.39). On the other hand, Dubois has higher chances of being knocked out: 1.61 (42%).
The favorite is obvious
In general, most bookmakers and analysts agree that Oleksandr Usyk is the favorite of the fight. He retains the status of one of the most technical and durable boxers of our time, and has every chance of becoming the absolute world heavyweight champion.
The rematch with Dubois is another important step for Usyk in the history of world boxing. If he wins, he will become the first Ukrainian to unify all heavyweight titles and only the fifth absolute world champion in this weight category in history.
The Usyk-Dubois fight will take place on July 19 at 22:00 Kyiv time.
Venue: Wembley Stadium, London.
Where to watch Usyk vs Dubois
In Ukraine, the rematch between Oleksandr Usyk and Daniel Dubois will be broadcasted by the MEGOGO media platform.
All the fights of the evening, including the main event, will be available to users with Optimal, Sport, Maximum or MEGOPACK XL subscriptions.
The live broadcast will be commentated by Vladimir Kobelkov. It will be available in the Sports category, Martial Arts subsection, on the MEGOGO Gong channel, as well as on a special pop-up channel in the Television section that will be launched on the day of the fight.
