Pasta prices will rise by the end of the year
10 November 2025 15:04
FORECAST
After the autumn rise in grain prices and, consequently, flour prices, Ukrainians are facing another, albeit moderate, rise in prices – this time for pasta.
According to Leonid Kozachenko, president of the Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation, who told [Komersant] that the rise in flour prices inevitably leads to a rise in the price of finished products. As early as December, pasta prices may rise by 3-5%.
“Prices will definitely rise. But it won’t be a high increase, just a small percentage. As a rule, prices go up in a month at the most. And they correlate almost as well as the growth of raw materials. Now flour has risen by a small percentage. It’s about 3-5 percent. That is, such an increase may occur in December for pasta,” the expert said.
According to Kozachenko, the biggest rise in prices will be for domestic producers, while imported products will rise in price a little later, in about two months.
“As a rule, they will not increase immediately (prices for imported products – Ed.), but in two months they may also increase. And this will be due not only to the fact that the cost of grain itself is rising,” the expert states.
He emphasized that there are several reasons for the rise in prices: rising logistics costs, higher railroad tariffs, and the risk of an increase in the cost of electricity due to Russian attacks on energy infrastructure.
“Why is it growing? Because logistics costs are growing very significantly. Prices for railroad transportation have jumped now because the railroad wants to launch free trains that will run outside of rush hour.
They need to get the money from somewhere, so they shifted it to the cost of logistics for business, and this immediately affects the cost of the products they produce. And then the subsequent production of flour is also related to the cost of electricity, which everyone expects to rise, because we see what is happening, how the enemy is now destroying our energy generation facilities,” explained Kozachenko.
However, the expert reassures that we should not expect a significant price jump, such as 20-30%.
“That is, you should not be afraid that the price of pasta will rise by 20-30 percent, no, this will not happen,” Kozachenko concluded.
The gradual increase, although unpleasant for consumers, is a natural reaction of the market to the rise in raw material prices and increased production costs.
As a reminder, bread prices may rise in Ukraine due to the power outage, but so far producers have not raised prices for this basic product.
