Bloomberg: without ammunition for Ukraine, Russia could break through the front in a few months
29 February 2024 15:42
If the situation with the supply of ammunition to Ukraine remains the same as it is now, Russia may increase the pace of its offensive in the coming months. According to Bloomberg, the Ukrainian military leadership is currently concerned about this, Kommersant Ukrainsky reports 
Recently, Ukraine has been forced to abandon Avdiivka and several nearby villages. This happened, among other things, due to a lack of ammunition and the absence of assistance from the United States. If the situation does not change, Ukraine may find itself in a very difficult position.
“Ukraine may start losing the war this year,”
– said Michael Coffman, Russia and Ukraine specialist at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
According to Ukrainian intelligence estimates, Putin has not abandoned his original goal of capturing major cities, including Kyiv and Odesa, an anonymous source told the newspaper.
“Depending on the outcome of the current campaign, Russia will decide whether to continue its slow advance or to build up resources for a bigger blow to break through Ukrainian lines this summer, a person close to the Ukrainian leadership said.”
– bloomberg reports.
For now, Ukraine’s strategy, according to the newspaper, is to hold the front line as much as possible until the second half of the year, when it may receive F-16 fighter jets and should increase production of Western munitions. This will allow Kyiv to plan another possible counter-offensive in 2025.
“Festival of security agreements”
Against the backdrop of disappointing news from the US Congress, the “Festival of Security Agreements with Ukraine” is gaining momentum, with Western countries guaranteeing our security under bilateral agreements such as the Budapest Memorandum. Ukraine has already signed such agreements with the UK, Germany, France, Denmark, Italy and Canada. Under these agreements, these states pledge to support Ukraine in the face of the Russian threat with finance, weapons and humanitarian aid.
The United States and Poland may be among the next signatories, as it is known that the government is negotiating with these countries.
For example, the US Ambassador to Ukraine, Bridget Brink, said that two rounds of talks between Ukraine and the US have already taken place on the content and content of the relevant agreement with the US government.
Ukraine is desperately trying to gain the support of the world. In particular, the following 5 points of the Ukrainian Formula for Peace were presented at this year’s Davos Economic Forum.
