Russian offensive in Sumy region: expert identifies the real goal – political pressure and chaos inside Ukraine

16 June 18:58
ANALYSIS FROM

The defense forces have stabilized the situation in Sumy region, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy said. However, 50,000 occupants have already been deployed to the Sumy region. What is the “buffer zone” and how does Putin want to create it with the help of the 44th Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces? Why did Sumy region become an instrument of Kremlin pressure – in the article [Kommersant].

The actions of the Russians have not only a military but also a powerful political background. This is what military expert Dmytro Snegirev says in an exclusive commentary "Komersant Ukrainian".

“The activation of Russian troops in the Sumy direction is of primary importance not so much for the military as for the political significance for the occupying country,” emphasizes Dmytro Snegiryov.

According to the analytical department of the Right Cause civic initiative, headed by Snegiryov, Russian operational reserves (including units of the 44th Army Corps of the Leningrad Military District) have been redeployed to the Kursk region, from where the Russian military is putting pressure on the border of Ukraine.

Two offensive scenarios

According to Snegiryov, the occupiers are implementing two key tasks:

  1. They create threats to the operational encirclement of Ukrainian troops. The main direction of the Russian advance will be through Yunakivka to control the Sumy-Yunakivka-Sudzha logistics hub.
  2. They are trying to implement the concept of a “buffer zone” actively promoted by Russian President Vladimir Putin. For this purpose, the occupiers are deploying reserves to seize part of Sumy region.

“It is in the summer that the Russians will try to expand their zone of presence on the territory of Ukraine,” Snegiryov warns.

A blow to the rear and diplomacy

The analyst notes that Russia’s current actions have a powerful information and political component. It is a deliberate use of the “Sumy factor” to put pressure on the Ukrainian leadership.

“The occupiers put forward an ultimatum in their memorandum: either Ukraine withdraws its troops from Donbas, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson region, or Russia launches large-scale hostilities, in particular in Sumy and Kharkiv regions, with threats to move into Dnipropetrovs’k region,” the expert says.

“Russian troops have already had tactical successes: the occupiers have already captured a number of villages in the Khotyn and Yunakivska communities. The strategic goal is to reach Yunakivka to establish fire control over Sumy.

We are talking about indiscriminate attacks on residential infrastructure. This is the main goal of the occupiers,” emphasizes Snegiryov.

Panic is part of the plan

The enemy is deliberately spreading panic among the population, trying to undermine confidence in the government and the army.

This is being done to create an atmosphere of chaos, an outflow of people to safe regions and overload of social systems,” the military expert concludes.

The Ukrainian leadership is currently keeping the situation under control, but experts emphasize that the Russian threat on the northern direction is not just about the frontline. It is a pressure strategy aimed at forcing Ukraine to make concessions.

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Мандровська Олександра
Editor

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