On the day of the final, bookmakers lowered Ukraine’s odds for Eurovision 2026: what are the predictions?

16 May 14:08

On the day of the final of the “Eurovision 2026” international song contest, bookmakers have slightly lowered Ukraine’s odds; it is now in 13th place (after the national selection, it was predicted to finish 5th), reports "Komersant Ukrainian" citing “Interfax-Ukraine.

According to betting statistics published on the Eurovisionworld website, Ukraine’s representative Leléka, with the song “Ridnym,” has an 82% chance of making it into the top 15 finalists, a 64% chance of making it into the top 10, a 14% chance of making it into the top 5, a 6% chance of finishing in the top 3, and only a 1% chance of winning.

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Overall, according to bookmakers’ statistics, Leléka is currently projected to finish in 13th place; a day earlier, she was predicted to finish 12th.

At the same time, Finland’s representative has a 41% chance of winning the contest in 2026. Second and third places are predicted for the representatives of Australia and Greece, respectively, with their chances of winning at 21% and 7%. Israel and Romania follow (6% each), and after them—Bulgaria and Denmark (3% each).

As reported, the 70th anniversary contest “Eurovision 2026” is taking place in Vienna (Austria). The grand final will be held on May 16 at the Wiener Stadthalle, Austria’s largest indoor arena.

Ukraine’s representative, Leléka, with the song “Ridnym,” will perform as number 7 in the “Eurovision 2026” final.

Based on the results of the two semifinals, the following countries advanced to the final: Ukraine, Greece, Finland, Belgium, Sweden, Moldova, Israel, Serbia, Croatia, Lithuania, Poland, Bulgaria, Norway, Australia, Romania, Malta, Cyprus, Albania, Denmark, and the Czech Republic. In addition, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom, and Austria—as the winner of Eurovision 2025—automatically advance to the final.

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