An unknown person bet $370,000 that Putin would step down by the end of the year
1 July 21:16
On Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction platform, an anonymous investor has wagered $370,000 that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will step down from office by December 31, 2026. This was reported by "Komersant Ukrainian".
This refers to a prediction market opened to determine whether Putin will step down as president by the specified date.
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According to available data, the investor has put a large sum of money into this scenario. Currently, the prediction market rates the probability of Putin stepping down as president by the end of 2026 as low.
It should be noted that Polymarket is a platform that allows users to make predictions and place bets on political events, elections, economic indicators, and other current topics. The probabilities generated here are based not on official polls or forecasts, but on the behavior of users placing bets.
As a reminder, the British publication The Independent concluded that Vladimir Putin is in his most vulnerable position since the start of the full-scale war.
The authors of the article attribute this to regular Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s strategic infrastructure, logistical and fuel problems, as well as signs of growing discontent within the Russian political elite. In addition, the article notes that the Kremlin is increasingly feeling the consequences of the war, while Putin himself has recently begun to speak more actively about the possibility of resuming peace talks.
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