When will meteorological spring arrive in Ukraine: weather forecasters’ prediction
23 February 13:57
ANALYSIS 
Ukrainians are already feeling the first signs of warming, but meteorological spring has not yet arrived. This was stated in an exclusive comment to "Komersant Ukrainian" by weather forecaster Natalia Golenia, who explained when it will be possible to officially declare the end of winter.
According to her, spring is determined not by the calendar date, but by temperature indicators.
“Meteorological spring is when the average daily temperature finally crosses 0 degrees. That is, when it is higher for more than five days, we can consider it the beginning of spring,” the forecaster explained.
End of February: sub-zero temperatures at night and temperature fluctuations
Despite the gradual rise in temperature, night frosts will continue.
“We expect temperatures to rise, but at night we will still have sub-zero temperatures. That is, on February 26-27, the daytime temperature may be around zero — -1… 2 degrees,” Golenya noted.
Thus, at the end of February, Ukrainians can expect temperature swings: around zero or slightly above zero during the day and frost at night.
Early March: daytime temperatures up to 5 degrees
With the onset of March, nighttime temperatures will remain within the range of
- -1…-6°C
However, during the day, thanks to sunny weather, thermometers may rise to:
- 1… 3°C
- 4… 5°C.
“At the beginning of March, nighttime temperatures will remain between one and six degrees below zero. Daytime temperatures may rise to three to four degrees, with a maximum of five degrees above zero,” the forecaster said.
A more significant warming is possible from March 5–6
According to preliminary calculations, from March 5–6, daytime temperatures may rise to:
- 3…8°C
- and up to 10°C in some places.
Minimum temperatures are forecast to be between 0 and 5°C.
“This is the maximum temperature. The minimum is from zero to five degrees Celsius. If it stays within five days, then we can talk about spring,” Golenya explained.
Why it is too early to talk about the arrival of spring
The forecaster emphasizes that even if the temperature rises above zero during the day, night frosts may continue in early and even mid-March.
“It’s still the first half of March and even mid-March. We can definitively say that spring has arrived when we have had five days with an average daily temperature above zero. When the average daily temperature is above zero for a week, it means that spring has arrived,” she concluded.
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Weather forecast for Ukraine for the week: February 23 – March 1, 2026
This week, a gradual and steady rise in temperature is expected throughout Ukraine, according to meteorologist Igor Kibalchich onMeteoprog.
Under the influence of western and southwestern air currents, warmer air masses will enter Ukraine. The most intense warming is forecast in the western and southwestern regions, where meteorological spring may already begin, with daytime temperatures sometimes exceeding 10 °C.
At the same time, in the northeastern regions, the average daily temperature will remain close to 0 °C. Precipitation is expected to be mostly light, with fog possible in some places, and roads will remain slippery.
Detailed forecast by day
February 23 (Monday)
On Monday, February 23, in the western and northern regions, as well as in the central regions and Odesa region during the day, there will be moderate precipitation in the form of snow, sleet, and rain in some places. The rest of the country will be dry. Roads will be icy. Fog is possible in some places on the right bank.
The wind will be variable at night and southerly during the day, 5-10 m/s. The air temperature at night is expected to be between -4 and 2 °C, and during the day between 1 and 6 °C; in the north of the Left Bank, it will be between -7 and -12 °C at night and around 0 °C during the day.
February 24 (Tuesday)
On Tuesday, February 24, under the influence of atmospheric fronts, snow and wet snow are expected throughout Ukraine, with rain in the south and west. Fog and drizzle will be observed in some places. Roads will be icy.
The wind will be variable, 3-8 m/s. The air temperature at night will be -3…2 °C, during the day 1…6 °C, and up to 8 °C in Zakarpattia.
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February 25 (Wednesday)
On Wednesday, February 25, light snow is expected at night, with wet snow and rain in the south. During the day, it will be mostly dry, with only the eastern part still seeing light wet snow. Roads in most regions will remain icy.
The wind will be north/northwest, gusty in the south, 5-10 m/s. The air temperature at night is expected to be between -3 and 2 °C, during the day -1 to 4 °C, and up to 7 °C in Transcarpathia.
February 26 (Thursday)
On Thursday, February 26, no significant precipitation is expected in Ukraine at night. In the morning and during the day, snow, sleet, and rain in some places are expected in the northern, central, and Kharkiv regions. The rest of the country will be dry. Roads will be icy.
The wind will be variable at night and west/southwest during the day, 5–10 m/s. The air temperature at night is expected to be between -4 and 1 °C, in the north of the Left Bank -5 to -10 °C; during the day -1 to 5 °C, in the southern and western regions it will rise to 6 to 11 °C.
February 27 (Friday)
On Friday, February 27, rain and snow are expected at night and in the morning in most regions, except for the western regions. During the day, precipitation will leave Ukraine, and only in the south is light rain still possible. Roads will be slippery in some places, and fog is possible at night.
The wind is expected to be variable, 3–8 m/s. The air temperature at night will be -3…3 °C, during the day 1…6 °C, and in the far west and Odesa region 7…12 °C.
February 28 (Saturday)
On Saturday, February 28, calm weather without significant precipitation is expected throughout Ukraine. Only in the eastern part, there will be light snow and wet snow in some places. Roads and sidewalks will remain icy in some places.
The wind will be variable, 3-8 m/s. The air temperature at night will be -3…3 °C, during the day 0…6 °C, in the western and Odesa regions 7…13 °C.
March 1 (Sunday)
On Sunday, March 1, there will be light wet snow and rain at night in the northern regions and during the day in eastern Ukraine. Dry and cloudy weather is expected in the rest of the regions. The wind will be southwesterly, shifting to northwesterly, 7-12 m/s.
The air temperature at night will be -1…5 °C, during the day 3…8 °C, and in the extreme south and in Transcarpathia 9…11 °C in some places.
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