U.S. intelligence believes that Israel will derail the agreement with Iran

21 June 04:12

U.S. intelligence warned President Donald Trump’s administration that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is likely to try to derail a long-term agreement to resolve the conflict between Washington and Tehran. This was reported by unnamed retired and current U.S. officials, according to "Komersant Ukrainian", citing DW.

According to intelligence sources, Israel intends to continue military operations against the Iranian-backed Lebanese radical Shiite movement “Hezbollah,” which contradicts Tehran’s demands for further negotiations with Washington. Netanyahu’s intention to continue military operations is explained by the fact that, first, Israel is dissatisfied with the terms of the memorandum of understanding signed on June 17 by the U.S. and Iran. The country’s leadership believes that the agreement relieves Tehran of the “maximum pressure campaign” and may limit Israel’s ability to defend itself against “Hezbollah.”

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Second, for Netanyahu, who is preparing for parliamentary elections in the fall of 2026, it is important that the majority of Israel’s residents support the fight against “Hezbollah.” According to a May poll by the local Institute for National Security Studies, 70% of Jews living in the country favor intensifying the fight against this movement. Therefore, a cessation of hostilities or the withdrawal of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) from southern Lebanon would be perceived by the Israeli public as a defeat for Netanyahu.

CNN: Netanyahu Intends to Pressure Trump Through the Media and Pro-Israel Senators

According to the American television network CNN, one of the possible steps Netanyahu might take to derail the U.S.-Iran agreement is to put pressure on Trump. According to the network’s source, the Israeli prime minister believes that a final agreement between the U.S. and Iran will not be reached, in part because Tehran will not agree to restrictions on its nuclear program. To convey his position, Netanyahu is trying to enlist the support of right-wing bloggers and media outlets, as well as pro-Israel U.S. senators.

Media: Israel and Hezbollah Agree to a Ceasefire

Meanwhile, Reuters and the British television channel Sky Sports, citing sources, reported that Israel and Hezbollah reached a ceasefire agreement on June 19. However, an Israeli source told Reuters that despite this, the IDF would remain in southern Lebanon. However, Beirut has already claimed that IDF troops violated the ceasefire by allegedly carrying out strikes after the ceasefire took effect. Israel has not confirmed this information.

Without a ceasefire in Lebanon, Iran refused to hold further negotiations with the U.S.

A ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon, is one of the key provisions of the memorandum signed by Washington and Tehran, which halted the war against Iran initiated by the U.S. and Israel on February 28. The document stipulates that immediately after signing, a 60-day period of negotiations between the parties begins, during which they must agree on the final version of a peace agreement.

However, hostilities in Lebanon continued even after the memorandum was signed. Against this backdrop, it became known that the talks between the U.S. and Iranian delegations in Switzerland, scheduled for June 19, had been “postponed.” Until late in the evening of June 18, the Swiss side had expected the event to take place and anticipated welcoming representatives not only from these two countries but also from the mediating nations—Qatar and Pakistan.

And the Iranian news agency Tasnim reported as early as June 18 that, before the next rounds of talks begin, Iranian negotiators want to see signs that the U.S. is implementing the memorandum.

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